{"id":13168,"date":"2026-03-30T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-03-30T10:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/portalciruelas.com\/2026\/03\/30\/argentina-registra-otra-campana-de-ciruela-deshidratada-por-debajo-de-su-potencial-en-un-mercado-global-que-se-ajusta\/"},"modified":"2026-03-30T15:38:31","modified_gmt":"2026-03-30T15:38:31","slug":"argentina-records-another-dried-plum-harvest-below-its-potential-in-an-adjusting-global-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/portalciruelas.com\/en\/2026\/03\/30\/argentina-records-another-dried-plum-harvest-below-its-potential-in-an-adjusting-global-market\/","title":{"rendered":"15,000 tons and a missed opportunity: Argentina faces the global deficit of dried plums"},"content":{"rendered":"

The international market for dried plums enters the 2025\/26 season with a statistic that should set off alarm bells in any industry meeting room: global production is insufficient to meet demand. The projected deficit is around... 12,000 metric tons<\/strong> out of a total of 193,000 MT produced<\/strong>, This implies that global inventories will end the cycle at historic lows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In that context\u2014firm prices, low stocks, sustained demand\u2014Argentina arrives with barely 15,000 tons<\/strong>. Again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A pattern that repeats itself<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

This isn't just an isolated bad season. Argentine dried plum production has been below its structural capacity for several consecutive cycles. The combination of adverse climatic factors<\/strong> and one sustained reduction of cultivated area<\/strong> has consolidated this level as the new normal for the sector, at least for now.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What's changing this season is the external landscape: the world has less fruit than it needs, and Argentina has less than it could produce. The convergence of these two declines turns what could have been an exceptional year for local producers into a partially missed opportunity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The market that Argentina cannot fully take advantage of<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Global production fell by approximately one 6% compared to the previous cycle<\/strong> and near a 10% versus 2023\/24<\/strong>. None of the major producers managed to compensate:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \n
  • Chili<\/strong> The harvest yielded around 75,000 metric tons\u2014an average volume\u2014but with lower sugar levels and smaller fruit sizes than last year. Inventories at the start of the new season were low, and Chinese demand\u2014for both fresh and dried fruit\u2014remains strong.<\/li>\n
  • California<\/strong> It recorded its third consecutive decline in the harvest, with approximately 64,000 metric tons. The quality is good, but the volume is insufficient to rebalance the global market.<\/li>\n
  • Argentina<\/strong> It closes the picture with its 15,000 MT, without being able to add the volume that the market needs.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    Rising prices: good news for fruit growers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    With global stocks at record lows and sustained consumption\u2014driven by growth in the segment of healthy snacks<\/strong> Globally, the market anticipates prices firm or rising<\/strong> during the 2025\/26 cycle. The pressure will be especially marked in the larger and higher quality calibers, which are the ones that present the greatest relative scarcity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    For Argentina, this dynamic has a bittersweet interpretation: prices favor the producer, but there is little volume to sell. Each ton is worth more; the problem is that there are fewer tonnes available.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The fundamental question<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    How many more cycles can the Argentine sector operate below its potential before installed capacity deteriorates irreversibly? The answer depends, in part, on decisions that go beyond the farm level: reconversion policies, access to financing, integration with destination markets, and long-term strategies to recover acreage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The international market is already sending clear signals. The question is whether the Argentine sector is in a position to listen to them\u2014and to act\u2014before the window closes.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    With 15,000 metric tons in a global market with a 12,000 metric ton deficit and historically low stock levels, Argentina is repeating a pattern of underproduction just as prices begin to rise. An analysis of what this coincidence means for the sector.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13170,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"pagelayer_contact_templates":[],"_pagelayer_content":"","rank_math_title":"","rank_math_description":"","rank_math_focus_keyword":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[64,16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13168","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-argentina","category-exportacion"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalciruelas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13168","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalciruelas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalciruelas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalciruelas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalciruelas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13168"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/portalciruelas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13168\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13169,"href":"https:\/\/portalciruelas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13168\/revisions\/13169"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalciruelas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13170"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/portalciruelas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13168"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalciruelas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13168"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/portalciruelas.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13168"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}